WMO Warns: Strong El Nino to Bring Below-Normal Monsoon Rains to India
The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) has warned that the ongoing El Nino event is expected to strengthen in the coming months, likely leading to below-normal rainfall over the Indian subcontinent during the June-September monsoon season. El Nino, a natural climate phenomenon characterized by warmer-than-normal sea surface temperatures in the equatorial Pacific Ocean, began in June and is projected to intensify.
According to the WMO, the strengthening of El Nino conditions will increase the likelihood of extreme weather events such as heatwaves, droughts, and heavy rainfall in various parts of the globe. For India, El Nino has historically been associated with heatwaves and deficient monsoon rainfall.
Even before the effects of El Nino became pronounced, India recorded its fifth driest June in 126 years, with subdued monsoon activity across the country. The monsoon onset was also delayed in several regions, including Delhi, where it arrived on June 30. The ongoing dry spell has raised concerns about agricultural output and water availability.
The WMO's statement underscores the need for preparedness as the region faces the dual challenge of a strengthening El Nino and the potential for below-average rains. While El Nino does not guarantee a drought, it increases the probability of reduced precipitation. Authorities are urged to monitor forecasts closely and implement water conservation measures.
