IMD: Monsoon Likely to Advance in Maharashtra After June 24; Mumbai Under Yellow Alert

The India Meteorological Department (IMD) announced on Wednesday that the southwest monsoon is expected to advance further into Maharashtra after June 24, while the current hot and humid conditions over Mumbai are likely to persist under a yellow alert until Friday.

The weather bureau said rainfall activity across the state would remain isolated for the next four to five days, as the monsoon's progress has stalled after an early onset over the southern parts. The IMD is continuously monitoring synoptic conditions for any signs of revival.

Normally, the monsoon reaches Maharashtra by June 11, with Mumbai typically recording its first heavy showers around that time. This year, the monsoon surged from Kerala into southern Maharashtra by June 8, but the currents weakened thereafter, failing to push further inland. As a result, the interior and northern regions, including the financial capital, have seen a prolonged dry spell.

Mumbai remains under a yellow alert, which represents the lowest level of the IMD's colour-coded warning system. It indicates that people should be aware of weather conditions that may cause discomfort or minor disruptions but do not pose a significant risk at the moment. The alert is specifically for hot and humid weather, with daytime temperatures likely to climb above normal levels, adding to the discomfort for residents.

Meteorologists explain that the monsoon's stall is linked to a weakening of the lower-level westerly winds and the lack of a conducive pressure gradient across the region. Computer models now suggest that conditions may become favourable for the monsoon to advance after June 24, with an uptick in rainfall expected over the Konkan coast, including Mumbai.

The IMD's statement read: "Rainfall activity over most parts of Maharashtra is likely to remain isolated during the next 4-5 days." The department emphasised that it is tracking all relevant atmospheric parameters, such as wind patterns, outgoing longwave radiation, and sea surface temperatures, to refine the forecast.

The delay has implications for agriculture, as many districts in Maharashtra ready their fields for kharif sowing, which depends on timely monsoon rains. Crops like rice, pulses, and oilseeds are typically sown in June and July, and insufficient moisture can lead to lower yields or force farmers to delay sowing. Water reservoirs, which provide irrigation and drinking water, are also being monitored as the dry spell extends.

While the northern and eastern parts of India have been receiving active monsoon rainfall, the west coast and central regions remain deficient. The IMD's extended range forecast indicates that a likely formation of weather systems over the Bay of Bengal could help draw the monsoon current back into the western and central states later in June.

For the general public in Mumbai, the hot and humid conditions are likely to persist for a few more days. Health experts advise staying hydrated, wearing light clothing, and avoiding outdoor activities during the peak afternoon hours. The IMD will issue updates as the situation evolves, and citizens are encouraged to follow official channels for the latest weather information.

The monsoon is the lifeblood of India's economy, and its timely progress is critical for agriculture, water availability, and energy production. As Maharashtra waits for the revival, all eyes are on the upcoming forecast and the expected advancement after June 24.