IMD Predicts Below-Normal July Rainfall After June's 40% Deficit

The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has forecast below-normal rainfall for July, following a significant deficit in June. On Tuesday, the IMD stated that July rainfall is expected to be less than 94 per cent of the long-period average, marking the second consecutive month of below-normal precipitation.

June recorded a 40 per cent deficit, with actual rainfall at only 60 per cent of the normal. This made it the fifth driest June since 1901, when rainfall records began in India. The IMD had initially predicted 92 per cent of normal rainfall for June, but the actual figures fell far short.

The shortfall has raised concerns about the overall monsoon season forecast. In May, the IMD had predicted that the four-month monsoon season (June to September) would bring 90 per cent of the long-period average, citing a developing El Nino phase in the Pacific. El Nino is known to suppress monsoon rainfall in India.

Earlier, the IMD assessed that the second half of the monsoon (August and September) would be more impacted by El Nino, while the first two months would be less affected. However, the June deficit may prompt a reassessment of this forecast. The IMD will continue to monitor conditions and update its predictions accordingly.

Farmers and policymakers rely on accurate monsoon forecasts for agricultural planning and water management. The below-normal rainfall in June has already affected sowing of kharif crops in some regions. The IMD advises stakeholders to stay updated with the latest forecasts and take necessary precautions.